The heads of four leading players from France and Germany discuss the state of the market and the strategies they’re adopting to tackle the challenges ahead
FRANCE
- Rodolphe Buet, chief executive, Newen Connect
“We need to manoeuvre carefully in a destructive market and seize every opportunity,” says Newen Connect chief executive Rodolphe Buet. It’s fighting talk from the French distributor and comes off the back of Newen hitting its predicted revenues in 2023-24.
The TF1-owned distributor does not see its competitors as UK-based distribution giants like Banijay Rights, Fremantle or ITV Studios, but European players in the €50-€150m (£42m–£127m) revenue range, like StudioCanal or Beta Film. Buet says, coyly, that his company delivered turnover “somewhere in the middle” of that range, suggesting Newen Connect is pushing €100m (£85m) in revenues.
But despite achieving its target, Buet is mindful that in terms of 2024 sales, “the mix is in favour of catalogue versus new shows”.
US buyers such as Warner Bros Discovery and Paramount “freezing budgets” for acquisitions while they sort out their own issues has not helped, he notes.
“Over the past year, linear channels and digital platforms have been looking for existing IP and long-returning series,” he says. “If we can’t convince [buyers], particularly streamers, that buying fresh content and taking risks on new IP is key for them to reach new audiences or reduce churn, we face the prospect of our investments in programming being only partially recouped, or not at all. We have to crack that.”
Buet expects Newen Connect will continue to be a leader in terms of selling French, German, Nordic and Italian productions, and also selling content into European countries. Buet says Newen is the number one distributor for selling content into Italy.
Key titles include hit TF1 comedic crime show HIP (Haute Potentiel Intellectuel), of which there have been four series since its launch in 2021. Newen has a “lifetime commitment” with most of the show’s licensees, Buet says. Its US remake, ABC’s High Potential, launched on 17 September and Buet hopes it can become a returner in its own right.
Live-action manga remake Cat’s Eyes, he adds, has outperformed HIP in its early days of selling to the international market.
While strengthening its position in its core business, Newen Connect is also expanding its footprint in English-language productions, with Paramount+ original The Serial Killer’s Wife from Clapperboard and BlackBox Multimedia a standout performer.
“HIP is comparable with mid-range English-language shows distributed by BBC Studios or ITV Studios, generating millions in revenues year after year. That’s amazing,” he says.
Does he fear UK-based super-indie distributors will threaten Newen’s non-English-language dominance? “I don’t think they will box in that category,” he says. “It’s extremely complex to make the economics work. They would have to ask sales executives to focus on shows that might generate €10,000, rather than English-language shows that might generate €100,000.
“[Large UK distributors] could potentially explore some key territories, but maybe it would be more intelligent to partner with us and try to fi nd synergies.”
FRANCE
- Guillaume Pommier, co-chief of distribution, Federation Studios
Financial turmoil made 2023 “kind of a nightmare”, acknowledges Guillaume Pommier, co-chief of distribution at France’s Federation Studios.
He says the overall company achieved its revenue target for 2023, generating turnover of €260m (£219.5m) as a group, but it was “really, really hard”. The sorts of deals on which it had previously relied – where buyers, particularly from the US, would pay substantial licence fees to ensure long, exclusive windows – were not as forthcoming.
He says: “There were more deals and more clients than in previous years, but lower licence fees, shorter licence periods and less exclusivity. That’s the situation of the market right now.”
Pommier is also concerned that US studios and major streamers may encroach further into European distributors’ core business.
“The threat for us will be the biggest studios and SVoDs selling their shows to our clients in the second window,” he says. “Disney did this with Nautilus – a big-budget series that represents direct competition.”
He predicts this will soon extend to the streamers’ European content, suggesting the next to commission a European hit such as Netfl ix’s Casa de Papel will look to sell it directly to third parties after off ering it exclusively for a period of time. If streamers are looking to boost profi tability, then “the next hit they create is going straight into the market”, he says.
The challenge for Federation and its peers is to be part of the distribution conversation where possible. Federation has been approached by some major players – though Pommier doesn’t name them – about selling shows on which it has been a co-producer. Pommier says some streamers are willing to discuss opening up distribution rights on commissioned shows if it can help attract fi nancing for further series.
He warns, however, that this is a precarious position, because those new distribution opportunities could just as easily be snapped up by rivals.
Federation Studios is targeting English-language drama to increase its library, which currently sits at 1,382 hours, spurred by the success of its English-language series Rematch, about the famous chess game between Garry Kasparov and supercomputer Deep Blue.
Its upcoming slate includes: UK series Miss Austen (Masterpiece); Curfew (Paramount+); Sherlock & Daughter (The CW; Discovery+); I, Jack Wright (UKTV); and The Agency – Paramount+ and Showtime’s high-profile remake of the hit French series Le Bureau des Légendes.
GERMANY
- Oliver Bachert, chief distribution officer, Beta Film
As one of the few truly independent companies left in Europe, Germany’s Beta Film has worked hard to keep its revenue streams diversified. A player in both production and distribution, it doesn’t break out individual revenue lines, but the group’s turnover hit €375m (£316m) in the fiscal year 2023, a decline of 6.25%.
“We have to navigate two landscapes whose futures are difficult to predict: budgets and business models,” says chief distribution officer Oliver Bachert.
Like many of its peers and rivals, back catalogue has proved vital: Canadian procedural Hudson & Rex is one of its three top-selling shows of the past year.
At 116 hours across seven series, it accounts for a substantial chunk of Beta’s 450-hour catalogue, of which 280 hours are from TV series.
But Beta has always endeavoured to be in the “business of creating event programming” and will launch epic series Rise Of The Raven at Mipcom, a Europe-hopping period action drama with a budget of $50m (£37.9m) and multiple financing partners.
Beta has a strong relationship with UK indie Eagle Eye Drama, with which it partners on existing series Hotel Portofino and Professor T, as well as upcoming PBS procedural Patience and Bookish for UKTV, written by and starring Mark Gatiss (Sherlock; Dracula).
Bachert say the creative talent available in the UK market, combined with continental European resources, could be a winning formula.
“We’re trying to anticipate the needs of buyers and audiences,” he says. “We want to create something appealing that doesn’t immediately go to cuckoo budgets. And we see more openness to collaborate.”
As such, Beta is increasingly operating in the pre-buy or ‘acquimission’ model, where there is the potential for better returns.
“This pre-acquisition model becomes much more meaningful, particularly in safeguarding financing,” he says. “Our focal point is to find more early-stage partnerships with UK broadcasters.”
GERMANY
- Tim Gerhartz, managing director, Seven.One Studios International
For Tim Gerhartz, managing director of Germany’s Seven.One Studios International, 2023-24 and beyond is about a reset of the scripted distribution landscape. “It’s the genre under the most pressure,” he says. “There was just too much content out there and the pricing got very high. The market is collapsing, but we’re about to reshape it.”
Seven.One’s strategy is to parallel its lucrative unscripted formats business, which has delivered global brands like Married At First Sight (30 countries) and breakout sibling Stranded On Honeymoon Island.
Moving away from the classic distribution model of paying minimum guarantees for rights to sell, Seven.One aims to be a “content enabler”, offering development, production and distribution services.
The company is armed with a 10,000-hour-plus catalogue, with a 50-50 split between third-party and in-house studio/ProSiebenSat.1 channel content.
Gerhartz says: “It’s a key time for developers and creatives to look at what the audience really wants. The industry is aiming for fewer, better and bigger projects, and studios that have the capacity, bandwidth and cash to invest in turning dramas into ‘brands’ will succeed. Reliable collaborations between channels, streamers, distributors and financing partners can create long-lasting business.”
This strategy is still in its infancy but is well developed in non-scripted. MAFS is its biggest seller across finished tape, format sales and production. Seven.One is now developing a younger-skewing MAFS adaptation in Germany, possibly for sibling platform Joyn.
Elsewhere, the international versions of Stranded On Honeymoon Island are being produced from the company’s hub. “That allows us to offer the show at a fair price to broadcasters in a difficult market,” says Gerhartz.
The format has nine adaptations so far and has been picked up by the BBC. Seven.One is pushing its studio competition format Beat The Channel, while science-focused entertainment magazine show Galileo continues to sell globally, 20 years after it was created.
“What works for buyers is the reality space and the entertainment genre in general, and we are well-positioned,” Gerhartz says.
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